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Conservative and gradual recovery expected

The Aruba Hotel & Tourism Association has published the latest hotel performance data showing the crisis’ effect on 2020 tourism so far.  April’s 0 occupancy has affected the average for the first 4 months of the year as follows:

Occupancy: At 34.8 points lower than the same period in 2019, the 2020 year-to-date average occupancy rate is 53.6%.

ADR: The average daily rate (for occupied rooms) is 6.5% higher than the same period last year, at $359.14.

RevPAR: The revenue per available room is $192.38 year-to-date, a 35.4% reduction.

A month further into the COVID-19 crisis AHATA’s projection for the rest of 2020 has become more conservative. The situation is still unprecedented with very little confirmed information to count on. However, considering the current view of the situation in the United States, the fact that fewer people will travel prior to introduction of a vaccine, immense financial effects on individuals, and the turmoil in the airline industry, AHATA has updated its forecast. 

At this point, AHATA expects the following trajectory for Aruba’s hotel occupancy recovery (if the border opens on June 15th):



June

July

August

Sept

Oct

Nov

Dec

OCC

5%

10%

10%

10%

20%

30%

40%


During the recovery period most companies shall experience higher cost than income levels. The government’s salary subsidy program offers relief as long as it is available. Reality remains that the crisis does not end when the lockdown ends. Many companies are not able to survive at the low levels of income that will be experienced for the months ahead. Some will need to restructure to survive and some will need to close their doors permanently. 

For the reopening of Aruba’s borders, AHATA has recommended strict entry requirements to help reduce the number of imported COVID-19 cases. It is impossible to escape importation of new cases; however, a substantial limitation would help minimize the size of a second wave and consequently its impact on our healthcare infrastructure. AHATA is of the opinion that Aruba must do its utmost to avoid a second lockdown, which would cause more economic damage than the first one.



Papiamento

AHATA: Ta spera recuperacion conservativo y gradual

 

Aruba Hotel & Tourism Association (AHATA) ta acumula e cifranan di ocupacion y prijs di hotelnan tur luna, y manera por a spera ta confirma cu na April no tabatin turismo na Aruba.  E 0 ocupacion di April a afecta e averahe di e prome 4 lunanan di 2020 di sigiente manera:

Ocupacion: E ocupacion na hotelnan a baha cu 34.8 punto compara cu e mesun temporada na 2019, yegando grado di ocupacion di 53.6%.

ADR: E balor averahe di cada camber ocupa a subi te awor cu 6.5% compara cu e mesun 4 lunanan di aña pasa, yegando $359.14.

RevPAR: E entrada averahe pa tur camber disponibel, tabata $192.38; un reduccion di 35.4% compara cu e averahe un aña pasa.

Un luna mas leu den e crisis, AHATA su proyeccion pa recuperacion a bira mas conservativo. Aunque falta hopi informacion ainda pa efectonan di COVID-19 riba mundo, e proyeccion mas conservativo ta pa motibo di bista actual riba: e situacion na Merca, e hecho cu menos hende lo biaha prome cu tin vacuna, e efecto financiero di e crisis riba un cantidad grandi di persona mundialmente, y e efecto riba aerolinea.  Ta pronostica cu lo experiencia un trayectoria di recuperacion hopi largo, cu sigiente ocupacion pa resto di 2020 (si habri frontera 15 Juni):



June

July

August

Sept

Oct

Nov

Dec

OCC

5%

10%

10%

10%

20%

30%

40%


E temporada di recuperacion ta un temporada unda gasto ta mas halto cu entrada pa companianan cu ta depende di turismo.  E programa gubernamental di subsidio di salario ta un alivio tanten cu e ta disponibel. E realidad ta keda cu e crisis no ta caba dia lockdown caba, pasobra hopi compania na Aruba no por sobrevivi cu entrada di nivel asina abou pa hopi tempo. Varios compania lo tin necesidad di restructura pa por sobrevivi, y varios lo mester sera porta.

Cu bista riba reapertura di frontera, AHATA a recomenda rekesito estricto pa yegada di nos bishitantenan pa yuda reduci e cantidad di caso di COVID-19 importa. No ta posibel pa elimina e importacion completamente, pero un reduccion substancial di caso importa lo yuda evita un peso demasiado grandi pa nos sector di salubridad y yuda evita un segundo lockdown.

Posted on May 19, 2020